MBN

NEWS

John Curtice: John Curtice- 'Not much difference' between Labour and Tory po...

Lulu Sun Tennis: Lulu Sun beats Emma Raducanu at Wimbledon...
Published Time: 05.07.2024 - 04:20:05 Modified Time: 05.07.2024 - 04:20:05

However, Reform are seeing strong results, polling ahead of the Conservatives in Houghton and Sunderland South, pushing the Tories into third place. John Curtice, How accurate are exit polls


Curtice went on: “It’s what you would expect in an election in which the polls were suggesting it’s pretty clear who was going to win and where there wasn’t that much difference – despite both parties’ denials – not that much difference between Conservative and Labour in much of what they were offering the electorate.”

The early election results have seen little movement in Labour support, with the number of votes the party has won actually dropping in some areas.

However, Reform are seeing strong results, polling ahead of the Conservatives in Houghton and Sunderland South, pushing the Tories into third place.

Reform UK candidate Sam Woods-Brass received 11,668 votes to Conservative candidate Chris Burnicle’s 5514.

The exit poll by Ipsos UK for Sky News, the BBC and ITV News, said Reform UK have a likelihood of 99%-plus that Farage will win the seat in Clacton, Essex.

Reform has seen similar success on the second seat of the night, coming in second place in Blyth and Ashington with 10,857 votes, as Labour secured 20,030 votes and the Tories came third with 6121 votes.

It has been said that Reform’s wide but thin support would not facilitate their success in a first-past-the-post system and Farage has been vocal the need for changes to the electoral system.

So, the early successes will bolster Reform’s confidence as Farage had previously said this election was only the “tip of the iceberg” for the start-up party as they build to bigger success in 2029.

We know there are thousands of National readers who want to debate, argue and go back and forth in the comments section of our stories. We’ve got the most informed readers in Scotland, asking each other the big questions the future of our country.

Unfortunately, though, these important debates are being spoiled by a vocal minority of trolls who aren’t really interested in the issues, try to derail the conversations, register under fake names, and post vile abuse.

So that’s why we’ve decided to make the ability to comment only available to our paying subscribers. That way, all the trolls who post abuse on our website will have to pay if they want to join the debate – and risk a permanent ban from the account that they subscribe with.

The conversation will go back to what it should be – who care passionately the issues, but disagree constructively on what we should do them. Let’s get that debate started!

Callum Baird, Editor of The National

We want our comments to be a lively and valuable part of our community - a place where readers can debate and engage with the most important local issues. The ability to comment on our stories is a privilege, not a right, however, and that privilege may be withdrawn if it is abused or misused.

Please report any comments that break our rules.

This website and associated newspapers adhere to the Independent Press Standards Organisation's Editors' Code of Practice. If you have a complaint the editorial content which relates to inaccuracy or intrusion, then please contact the editor here. If you are dissatisfied with the response provided you can contact IPSO here

© 2001-2024. Newsquest Media Group Ltd, 1st Floor, Chartist Tower, Upper Dock Street, Newport, Wales, NP20 1DW | 01676637 |

Those ads you do see are predominantly from local es promoting local services.

These adverts enable local es to get in front of their target audience – the local community.

It is important that we continue to promote these adverts as our local es need as much support as possible during these challenging times.

NEWS